Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Twareat Medical Care Co. (9627.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.14 - $12.42$10.14
Multi-Stage$17.74 - $19.49$18.60
Blended Fair Value$14.37
Current Price$18.80
Upside-23.56%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022
DPS0.00%0.00%0.200.210.080.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---1.63%157.36%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.30%1.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)36.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)26.27
(=) Cash Retained (M)10.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.344.582.75
Cash Retained (M)10.4110.4110.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.34-4.58-2.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.075.827.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)40.0040.0040.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.150.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.660.660.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.150.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.730.800.85
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$8.14$10.14$12.42
Upside / Downside-56.70%-46.04%-33.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)36.6836.3135.9535.5935.2334.8835.93
Payout Ratio71.63%75.30%78.98%82.65%86.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)26.2727.3428.3929.4130.4231.3933.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)25.3425.5925.85
Year 2 PV (M)24.3824.8825.38
Year 3 PV (M)23.4024.1324.86
Year 4 PV (M)22.4223.3524.31
Year 5 PV (M)21.4422.5623.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)592.58623.44655.57
Equity Value (M)709.56743.95779.70
Shares Outstanding (M)40.0040.0040.00
Fair Value$17.74$18.60$19.49
Upside / Downside-5.64%-1.07%3.68%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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