Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Naba Alsaha Medical Services Company (9546.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$52.53 - $80.71$65.66
Multi-Stage$112.17 - $123.66$117.80
Blended Fair Value$91.73
Current Price$67.00
Upside36.91%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.200.200.000.170.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.33%0.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)60.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.25
(=) Cash Retained (M)55.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.127.584.55
Cash Retained (M)55.3655.3655.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.12-7.58-4.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)43.2447.7850.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.5010.5010.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.124.554.84
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.124.554.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.625.055.34
WACC / Discount Rate6.62%6.62%6.62%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$52.53$65.66$80.71
Upside / Downside-21.60%-2.01%20.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)60.6160.0059.4058.8158.2257.6459.37
Payout Ratio8.66%24.93%41.20%57.46%73.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.2514.9624.4733.7942.9351.8754.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.62%6.62%6.62%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)13.8914.0314.17
Year 2 PV (M)21.1021.5321.97
Year 3 PV (M)27.0527.8828.74
Year 4 PV (M)31.9033.2234.59
Year 5 PV (M)35.7937.6639.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,048.021,102.601,159.42
Equity Value (M)1,177.751,236.921,298.48
Shares Outstanding (M)10.5010.5010.50
Fair Value$112.17$117.80$123.66
Upside / Downside67.41%75.82%84.57%

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