DDM Analysis: 82800.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$356.84 - $1,367.99	$1,022.45
Multi-Stage	$166.38 - $182.18	$174.13
Blended Fair Value	$598.29
Current Price	$24.52
Upside	2,340.01%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	14.21%	10.53%	0.85	0.68	0.64	0.39	0.42	0.44	0.46	0.46	0.41	0.38
YoY Growth	-	-	25.40%	5.46%	66.86%	-8.32%	-3.94%	-5.41%	0.91%	12.79%	7.37%	21.17%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.62%	3.94%	3.12%	1.41%	1.24%	1.67%	1.32%	1.21%	1.48%	1.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	44,993.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	5,783.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)	39,209.86

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	8,998.63	5,624.14	3,374.49
Cash Retained (M)	39,209.86	39,209.86	39,209.86
(-) Cash Required (M)	-8,998.63	-5,624.14	-3,374.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)	30,211.23	33,585.71	35,835.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	6,540.99	6,540.99	6,540.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share	4.62	5.13	5.48
LTM Dividend per Share	0.88	0.88	0.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share	4.62	5.13	5.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.50	6.02	6.36
WACC / Discount Rate	7.13%	7.13%	7.13%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$356.84	$1,022.45	$1,367.99
Upside / Downside	1,355.31%	4,069.84%	5,479.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	44,993.14	47,917.69	51,032.34	54,349.45	57,882.16	61,644.50	63,493.84
Payout Ratio	12.85%	28.28%	43.71%	59.14%	74.57%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	5,783.28	13,552.54	22,307.37	32,143.07	43,163.15	55,480.05	58,731.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.13%	7.13%	7.13%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	12,532.13	12,650.92	12,769.71
Year 2 PV (M)	19,074.66	19,437.98	19,804.72
Year 3 PV (M)	25,415.57	26,145.16	26,888.58
Year 4 PV (M)	31,559.49	32,773.18	34,021.54
Year 5 PV (M)	37,510.93	39,322.72	41,203.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)	962,203.61	1,008,678.41	1,056,931.90
Equity Value (M)	1,088,296.38	1,139,008.36	1,191,620.30
Shares Outstanding (M)	6,540.99	6,540.99	6,540.99
Fair Value	$166.38	$174.13	$182.18
Upside / Downside	578.55%	610.17%	642.97%

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Ticker ⇵	Company ⇵	Dividend Yield % ▼	Dividend Per Share ⇵	Payout Ratio % ⇵
TC.BK	Tropical Canning (Thailand) Public Company Limited	6.05%	$0.30	42.33%
8984.T	Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation	6.04%	$8,653.99	81.69%
0R40.L	Rai Way S.p.A.	6.03%	$0.33	99.60%
3600.HK	Modern Dental Group Limited	6.03%	$0.32	34.31%
003460.KS	Yuhwa Securities co.,ltd.	6.02%	$162.45	83.00%
298540.KQ	The Nature Holdings Co., Ltd.	6.02%	$521.44	76.58%
6263.TWO	Planet Technology Corporation	6.02%	$7.86	95.87%
NZX.NZ	NZX Limited	6.02%	$0.09	77.46%
WLMM3.SA	WLM Participações e Comércio de Máquinas e Veículos S.A.	6.02%	$1.23	40.06%
1760.HK	Intron Technology Holdings Limited	6.01%	$0.12	30.56%
5209.KL	Gas Malaysia Berhad	6.01%	$0.26	82.61%
ALLAN.PA	Lanson-BCC	6.01%	$1.96	26.09%
QAMC.QA	Qatar Aluminium Manufacturing Company Q.P.S.C.	6.00%	$0.10	74.36%
0237.HK	Safety Godown Company, Limited	5.99%	$0.12	71.07%
8986.T	Daiwa Securities Living Investment Corporation	5.99%	$6,829.90	63.32%
ASX.AX	ASX Limited	5.99%	$3.08	67.16%
MKP.TO	MCAN Mortgage Corporation	5.99%	$1.35	74.01%
0QMU.L	Compagnie Financière Richemont S.A.	5.98%	$6.91	67.79%
8924.TWO	O-TA Precision Industry Co., Ltd.	5.98%	$4.29	80.38%
FMTY14.MX	Fibra Mty, S.A.P.I. de C.V.	5.98%	$0.93	46.45%
HUMAN.BK	Humanica Public Company Limited	5.98%	$0.30	74.76%
603368.SS	Guangxi LiuYao Group Co., Ltd	5.97%	$1.06	53.83%
6069.HK	SY Holdings Group Limited	5.97%	$0.67	97.72%
ASII.JK	PT Astra International Tbk	5.97%	$405.75	50.28%
PXT.TO	Parex Resources Inc.	5.97%	$1.12	86.22%
SB	Safe Bulkers, Inc.	5.97%	$0.29	64.01%
1562.KL	Sports Toto Berhad	5.96%	$0.08	49.23%
8442.TW	WW Holding Inc.	5.96%	$4.19	72.79%
NTV.BK	Nonthavej Hospital Public Company Limited	5.96%	$1.37	66.11%
WLE.AX	WAM Leaders Limited	5.96%	$0.08	8.04%
094280.KS	Hyosung ITX Co. Ltd.	5.95%	$751.76	70.97%
O3P.DE	Österreichische Post AG	5.95%	$1.88	98.14%
PWO.DE	PWO AG	5.95%	$1.75	48.89%
0898.HK	Multifield International Holdings Limited	5.94%	$0.06	9.32%
1155.KL	Malayan Banking Berhad	5.94%	$0.62	72.18%
PORT3.SA	Wilson Sons S.A.	5.94%	$1.11	73.49%
009680.KS	Motonic Corporation	5.93%	$599.08	42.49%
3010.SR	Arabian Cement Company	5.93%	$1.29	91.83%
PGW.NZ	PGG Wrightson Limited	5.93%	$0.13	70.38%
0GX2.L	Neurones S.A.	5.92%	$2.49	61.25%
4012.SR	Thob Al Aseel Company	5.92%	$0.20	89.05%
9585.SR	Mulkia Investment Co.	5.92%	$2.01	37.97%
HEN.DE	Henkel AG & Co. KGaA	5.92%	$3.87	41.88%
KKP.BK	Kiatnakin Phatra Bank Public Company Limited	5.92%	$4.02	63.80%
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0RCW.L	Kid ASA	5.91%	$8.00	99.60%
ARSA.ME	Arsagera Asset Management	5.91%	$0.50	52.65%
DBM.TO	Doman Building Materials Group Ltd.	5.91%	$0.56	65.99%
DU.AE	Emirates Integrated Telecommunications Company PJSC	5.91%	$0.58	95.05%
NXR-UN.TO	Nexus Industrial REIT	5.91%	$0.47	57.77%

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Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (82800.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener