DDM Analysis: 7751.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,963.61 - $3,226.99	$2,525.75
Multi-Stage	$3,582.72 - $3,926.52	$3,751.35
Blended Fair Value	$3,138.55
Current Price	$4,189.00
Upside	-25.08%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-3.77%	-0.30%	152.93	141.41	128.94	96.05	137.16	185.30	192.51	176.01	177.00	188.78
YoY Growth	-	-	8.15%	9.67%	34.24%	-29.97%	-25.98%	-3.74%	9.38%	-0.56%	-6.24%	19.84%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.29%	3.15%	4.36%	3.21%	5.48%	7.86%	5.92%	4.57%	5.10%	5.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	161,027.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	147,644.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	13,383.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	32,205.40	20,128.38	12,077.03
Cash Retained (M)	13,383.00	13,383.00	13,383.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-32,205.40	-20,128.38	-12,077.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-18,822.40	-6,745.38	1,305.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	925.45	925.45	925.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-20.34	-7.29	1.41
LTM Dividend per Share	159.54	159.54	159.54
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-20.34	-7.29	1.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend	139.20	152.25	160.95
WACC / Discount Rate	7.01%	7.01%	7.01%
Growth Rate	-0.08%	0.92%	1.92%
Fair Value	$1,963.61	$2,525.75	$3,226.99
Upside / Downside	-53.12%	-39.71%	-22.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	161,027.00	162,515.11	164,016.98	165,532.73	167,062.48	168,606.37	173,664.56
Payout Ratio	91.69%	91.35%	91.01%	90.68%	90.34%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	147,644.00	148,459.47	149,277.40	150,097.78	150,920.56	151,745.74	160,639.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.01%	7.01%	7.01%
Growth Rate	-0.08%	0.92%	1.92%
Year 1 PV (M)	137,362.56	138,737.22	140,111.89
Year 2 PV (M)	127,795.33	130,365.98	132,962.22
Year 3 PV (M)	118,892.82	122,498.15	126,175.64
Year 4 PV (M)	110,608.94	115,103.57	119,733.80
Year 5 PV (M)	102,900.80	108,153.84	113,619.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,718,086.61	2,856,843.71	3,001,210.61
Equity Value (M)	3,315,647.06	3,471,702.47	3,633,813.43
Shares Outstanding (M)	925.45	925.45	925.45
Fair Value	$3,582.72	$3,751.35	$3,926.52
Upside / Downside	-14.47%	-10.45%	-6.27%

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Canon Inc. (7751.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener