Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Ota Floriculture Auction Co.,Ltd. (7555.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$199.29 - $295.33$245.19
Multi-Stage$373.92 - $410.81$392.01
Blended Fair Value$318.60
Current Price$748.00
Upside-57.41%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS0.03%0.00%11.9814.9611.9710.0110.0011.960.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---19.97%25.04%19.61%0.07%-16.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.61%1.92%1.59%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)126.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)60.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)66.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25.3815.869.52
Cash Retained (M)66.7766.7766.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-25.38-15.86-9.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)41.4050.9157.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.095.095.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.1410.0111.25
LTM Dividend per Share11.8111.8111.81
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.1410.0111.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend19.9521.8223.07
WACC / Discount Rate7.81%7.81%7.81%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$199.29$245.19$295.33
Upside / Downside-73.36%-67.22%-60.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)126.88125.61124.36123.11121.88120.66124.28
Payout Ratio47.37%55.90%64.42%72.95%81.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)60.1170.2180.1189.8199.30108.60114.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.81%7.81%7.81%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)64.4765.1365.78
Year 2 PV (M)67.5468.9370.33
Year 3 PV (M)69.5271.6773.86
Year 4 PV (M)70.5873.5076.52
Year 5 PV (M)70.8774.5678.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,559.411,640.611,725.16
Equity Value (M)1,902.391,994.402,090.06
Shares Outstanding (M)5.095.095.09
Fair Value$373.92$392.01$410.81
Upside / Downside-50.01%-47.59%-45.08%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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