DDM Analysis: 688578.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$28.76 - $40.72	$34.67
Multi-Stage	$42.14 - $46.31	$44.18
Blended Fair Value	$39.43
Current Price	$110.24
Upside	-64.24%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DPS	54.36%	0.00%	0.65	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.07	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-96.43%	641.78%	5.73%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.76%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.01%	0.19%	0.03%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,982.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	180.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,802.68

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	396.54	247.83	148.70
Cash Retained (M)	1,802.68	1,802.68	1,802.68
(-) Cash Required (M)	-396.54	-247.83	-148.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,406.14	1,554.84	1,653.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	450.37	450.37	450.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.12	3.45	3.67
LTM Dividend per Share	0.40	0.40	0.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.12	3.45	3.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.52	3.85	4.07
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$28.76	$34.67	$40.72
Upside / Downside	-73.91%	-68.55%	-63.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,982.68	1,962.85	1,943.22	1,923.79	1,904.55	1,885.50	1,942.07
Payout Ratio	9.08%	25.26%	41.45%	57.63%	73.82%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	180.00	495.87	805.41	1,108.71	1,405.86	1,696.95	1,796.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	446.24	450.79	455.35
Year 2 PV (M)	652.25	665.63	679.15
Year 3 PV (M)	808.01	832.99	858.49
Year 4 PV (M)	922.02	960.23	999.62
Year 5 PV (M)	1,001.54	1,053.69	1,107.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)	15,146.85	15,935.58	16,756.83
Equity Value (M)	18,976.90	19,898.92	20,857.43
Shares Outstanding (M)	450.37	450.37	450.37
Fair Value	$42.14	$44.18	$46.31
Upside / Downside	-61.78%	-59.92%	-57.99%

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Financial Statements

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Sector

Shanghai Allist Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd. (688578.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener