Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Qingdao Daneng Environmental Protection Equipment Co., Ltd. (688501.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$52.85 - $295.74$100.79
Multi-Stage$29.95 - $32.78$31.34
Blended Fair Value$66.06
Current Price$28.50
Upside131.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS42.49%0.00%0.390.180.230.090.090.070.060.060.000.00
YoY Growth--114.05%-22.41%156.39%0.56%37.19%4.44%-1.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.98%1.10%1.31%0.69%0.47%0.34%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)183.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)167.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)36.6622.9113.75
Cash Retained (M)167.44167.44167.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-36.66-22.91-13.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)130.78144.52153.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)123.27123.27123.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.061.171.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.061.171.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.191.301.38
WACC / Discount Rate7.87%7.87%7.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$52.85$100.79$295.74
Upside / Downside85.43%253.65%937.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)183.31195.22207.91221.42235.82251.14258.68
Payout Ratio8.66%24.93%41.19%57.46%73.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.8748.6685.65127.24173.87226.03239.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.87%7.87%7.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)44.6845.1145.53
Year 2 PV (M)72.2273.6074.99
Year 3 PV (M)98.53101.36104.24
Year 4 PV (M)123.64128.39133.28
Year 5 PV (M)147.60154.73162.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,205.153,359.963,520.70
Equity Value (M)3,691.823,863.154,040.87
Shares Outstanding (M)123.27123.27123.27
Fair Value$29.95$31.34$32.78
Upside / Downside5.09%9.96%15.02%

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