Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Industry

Sector

Highpoint Service Network Corporation (6884.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$30.91 - $46.88$38.42
Multi-Stage$64.77 - $71.21$67.93
Blended Fair Value$53.17
Current Price$55.10
Upside-3.50%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-22.85%0.00%1.030.980.000.000.003.780.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--5.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.72%1.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)58.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)33.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)25.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.747.344.40
Cash Retained (M)25.4225.4225.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.74-7.34-4.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.6818.0821.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.5316.5316.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.831.091.27
LTM Dividend per Share2.012.012.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.831.091.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.843.113.29
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$30.91$38.42$46.88
Upside / Downside-43.90%-30.28%-14.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)58.7058.1257.5356.9656.3955.8357.50
Payout Ratio56.70%63.36%70.02%76.68%83.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)33.2836.8240.2843.6846.9950.2453.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)34.0634.4134.76
Year 2 PV (M)34.4735.1835.90
Year 3 PV (M)34.5835.6436.74
Year 4 PV (M)34.4235.8437.31
Year 5 PV (M)34.0435.8137.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)899.09945.91994.66
Equity Value (M)1,070.651,122.791,177.01
Shares Outstanding (M)16.5316.5316.53
Fair Value$64.77$67.93$71.21
Upside / Downside17.55%23.28%29.23%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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