Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hefei Gocom Information Technology Co.,Ltd. (688367.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RailroadsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.68 - $5.78$3.83
Multi-Stage$1.90 - $2.08$1.99
Blended Fair Value$2.91
Current Price$21.80
Upside-86.65%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162014
DPS-7.25%44.43%0.100.210.200.000.150.150.000.070.020.10
YoY Growth---52.22%7.57%7,526.13%-98.27%1.37%0.00%-100.00%355.43%-83.33%3,690.60%
Dividend Yield--0.65%1.52%1.09%0.01%0.63%0.62%0.00%0.31%0.07%0.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)12.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.461.540.92
Cash Retained (M)12.1312.1312.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.46-1.54-0.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)9.6710.5911.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)87.7787.7787.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.120.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.120.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.110.120.13
WACC / Discount Rate9.91%9.91%9.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2.68$3.83$5.78
Upside / Downside-87.69%-82.43%-73.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12.3013.1013.9514.8615.8316.8617.36
Payout Ratio1.39%19.11%36.83%54.55%72.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.172.505.148.1111.4415.1716.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.91%9.91%9.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2.262.282.30
Year 2 PV (M)4.174.254.33
Year 3 PV (M)5.946.116.28
Year 4 PV (M)7.557.848.14
Year 5 PV (M)9.029.469.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)138.22144.90151.83
Equity Value (M)167.16174.84182.79
Shares Outstanding (M)87.7787.7787.77
Fair Value$1.90$1.99$2.08
Upside / Downside-91.26%-90.86%-90.45%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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