Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sansure Biotech Inc. (688289.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.31 - $4.82$4.04
Multi-Stage$5.90 - $6.47$6.18
Blended Fair Value$5.11
Current Price$21.17
Upside-75.86%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%0.440.661.080.720.490.000.000.010.000.00
YoY Growth---32.98%-39.04%49.34%46.01%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.03%3.40%4.55%2.39%0.76%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)271.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)179.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)91.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)54.3033.9420.36
Cash Retained (M)91.9891.9891.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-54.30-33.94-20.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)37.6858.0471.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)609.07609.07609.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.100.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.100.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.360.390.41
WACC / Discount Rate8.56%8.56%8.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.31$4.04$4.82
Upside / Downside-84.36%-80.91%-77.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)271.49268.78266.09263.43260.79258.18265.93
Payout Ratio66.12%70.90%75.67%80.45%85.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)179.51190.55201.35211.92222.26232.37245.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.56%8.56%8.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)173.76175.53177.31
Year 2 PV (M)167.43170.87174.34
Year 3 PV (M)160.69165.66170.73
Year 4 PV (M)153.68160.05166.61
Year 5 PV (M)146.51154.14162.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,791.752,937.123,088.49
Equity Value (M)3,593.823,763.373,939.56
Shares Outstanding (M)609.07609.07609.07
Fair Value$5.90$6.18$6.47
Upside / Downside-72.13%-70.81%-69.45%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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