DDM Analysis: 688106.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$8.84 - $42.84	$19.01
Multi-Stage	$4.91 - $5.37	$5.14
Blended Fair Value	$12.08
Current Price	$19.76
Upside	-38.89%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	32.13%	22.59%	0.56	0.29	0.28	0.28	0.09	0.14	0.05	0.07	0.06	0.07
YoY Growth	-	-	94.92%	4.01%	0.52%	198.45%	-33.78%	167.16%	-26.50%	11.50%	-4.72%	-8.79%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.10%	1.48%	1.20%	1.20%	0.37%	0.36%	0.13%	0.18%	0.16%	0.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	106.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	72.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)	34.30

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	21.35	13.34	8.00
Cash Retained (M)	34.30	34.30	34.30
(-) Cash Required (M)	-21.35	-13.34	-8.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)	12.95	20.96	26.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	495.50	495.50	495.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.03	0.04	0.05
LTM Dividend per Share	0.15	0.15	0.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.03	0.04	0.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.17	0.19	0.20
WACC / Discount Rate	7.56%	7.56%	7.56%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$8.84	$19.01	$42.84
Upside / Downside	-55.24%	-3.77%	116.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	106.73	113.66	121.05	128.92	137.30	146.22	150.61
Payout Ratio	67.86%	72.29%	76.72%	81.15%	85.57%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	72.43	82.17	92.87	104.61	117.49	131.60	139.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.56%	7.56%	7.56%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	75.68	76.40	77.11
Year 2 PV (M)	78.78	80.28	81.79
Year 3 PV (M)	81.73	84.08	86.47
Year 4 PV (M)	84.54	87.80	91.14
Year 5 PV (M)	87.22	91.43	95.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,026.77	2,124.66	2,226.30
Equity Value (M)	2,434.72	2,544.64	2,658.62
Shares Outstanding (M)	495.50	495.50	495.50
Fair Value	$4.91	$5.14	$5.37
Upside / Downside	-75.13%	-74.01%	-72.85%

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Financial Statements

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Ticker

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Sector

Suzhou Jinhong Gas Co.,Ltd. (688106.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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