Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sun Art Retail Group Limited (6808.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.49 - $7.66$7.17
Multi-Stage$23.60 - $26.16$24.85
Blended Fair Value$16.01
Current Price$1.79
Upside794.45%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.180.040.040.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--324.44%6.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--9.97%3.02%2.11%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)405.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)173.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)232.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)81.0050.6330.38
Cash Retained (M)232.00232.00232.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-81.00-50.63-30.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)151.00181.38201.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9,540.459,540.459,540.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.020.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.020.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.030.040.04
WACC / Discount Rate-32.56%-32.56%-32.56%
Growth Rate-4.47%-3.47%-2.47%
Fair Value$6.49$7.17$7.66
Upside / Downside262.50%300.63%327.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)405.00390.96377.40364.32351.69339.50349.68
Payout Ratio42.72%52.17%61.63%71.09%80.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)173.00203.97232.59258.98283.26305.55323.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-32.56%-32.56%-32.56%
Growth Rate-4.47%-3.47%-2.47%
Year 1 PV (M)299.32302.45305.59
Year 2 PV (M)500.86511.40522.05
Year 3 PV (M)818.37844.34870.85
Year 4 PV (M)1,313.501,369.361,426.99
Year 5 PV (M)2,079.122,190.242,306.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)220,097.78231,860.94244,121.75
Equity Value (M)225,108.95237,078.73249,553.29
Shares Outstanding (M)9,540.459,540.459,540.45
Fair Value$23.60$24.85$26.16
Upside / Downside1,218.17%1,288.26%1,361.31%

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