DDM Analysis: 605296.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$27.35 - $65.06	$40.39
Multi-Stage	$18.82 - $20.59	$19.69
Blended Fair Value	$30.04
Current Price	$30.25
Upside	-0.70%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-12.23%	-0.31%	0.05	0.26	0.19	0.20	0.22	0.09	0.19	0.05	0.05	0.02
YoY Growth	-	-	-82.37%	37.04%	-5.26%	-7.71%	146.56%	-52.87%	271.88%	1.86%	102.07%	-48.41%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.16%	0.68%	0.75%	0.71%	0.45%	0.18%	0.00%	0.10%	0.10%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	668.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	13.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)	654.59

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	133.63	83.52	50.11
Cash Retained (M)	654.59	654.59	654.59
(-) Cash Required (M)	-133.63	-83.52	-50.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)	520.97	571.08	604.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	520.35	520.35	520.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.00	1.10	1.16
LTM Dividend per Share	0.03	0.03	0.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.00	1.10	1.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.03	1.12	1.19
WACC / Discount Rate	9.46%	9.46%	9.46%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$27.35	$40.39	$65.06
Upside / Downside	-9.59%	33.52%	115.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	668.14	711.56	757.82	807.07	859.53	915.40	942.87
Payout Ratio	2.03%	19.62%	37.22%	54.81%	72.41%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	13.54	139.62	282.03	442.36	622.35	823.86	872.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.46%	9.46%	9.46%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	126.35	127.55	128.75
Year 2 PV (M)	230.98	235.38	239.82
Year 3 PV (M)	327.86	337.27	346.86
Year 4 PV (M)	417.43	433.48	449.99
Year 5 PV (M)	500.08	524.24	549.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)	8,191.70	8,587.37	8,998.17
Equity Value (M)	9,794.41	10,245.28	10,712.91
Shares Outstanding (M)	520.35	520.35	520.35
Fair Value	$18.82	$19.69	$20.59
Upside / Downside	-37.78%	-34.91%	-31.94%

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Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry Group Co.,LTD. (605296.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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