Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Shanghai General Healthy Information and Technology Co., Ltd. (605186.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.48 - $0.69$0.58
Multi-Stage$0.77 - $0.85$0.81
Blended Fair Value$0.70
Current Price$20.04
Upside-96.53%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS10.72%0.00%0.130.100.100.230.000.080.000.000.150.00
YoY Growth--26.74%5.81%-58.14%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.64%0.25%0.26%0.76%0.00%0.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.73
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.781.120.67
Cash Retained (M)5.735.735.73
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.78-1.12-0.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.954.625.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)127.76127.76127.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.060.06
WACC / Discount Rate9.36%9.36%9.36%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.48$0.58$0.69
Upside / Downside-97.60%-97.09%-96.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8.928.838.748.668.578.488.74
Payout Ratio35.76%46.61%57.46%68.31%79.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.194.125.025.916.787.648.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.36%9.36%9.36%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)3.733.763.80
Year 2 PV (M)4.124.204.29
Year 3 PV (M)4.384.524.66
Year 4 PV (M)4.554.744.94
Year 5 PV (M)4.644.885.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)77.1981.2185.40
Equity Value (M)98.61103.32108.21
Shares Outstanding (M)127.76127.76127.76
Fair Value$0.77$0.81$0.85
Upside / Downside-96.15%-95.96%-95.77%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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