Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Holsin Engineering Consulting Group Co.,Ltd. (603909.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.89 - $16.81$11.22
Multi-Stage$5.83 - $6.37$6.10
Blended Fair Value$8.66
Current Price$10.61
Upside-18.41%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-10.32%17.84%0.080.050.060.070.090.140.100.030.020.03
YoY Growth--59.46%-14.34%-18.13%-21.60%-33.82%42.07%186.96%96.51%-35.91%73.25%
Dividend Yield--0.94%0.49%0.51%0.58%0.95%1.75%0.90%0.29%0.09%0.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)109.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)31.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)77.76
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.8113.638.18
Cash Retained (M)77.7677.7677.76
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.81-13.63-8.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)55.9564.1369.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)260.69260.69260.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.250.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.250.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.330.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7.89$11.22$16.81
Upside / Downside-25.64%5.72%58.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)109.04116.13123.68131.71140.28149.39153.88
Payout Ratio28.69%40.95%53.21%65.47%77.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)31.2847.5565.8186.24109.05134.45142.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)42.8343.2443.65
Year 2 PV (M)53.4054.4155.44
Year 3 PV (M)63.0364.8466.68
Year 4 PV (M)71.7974.5577.39
Year 5 PV (M)79.7383.5887.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,210.121,268.571,329.25
Equity Value (M)1,520.901,589.191,659.99
Shares Outstanding (M)260.69260.69260.69
Fair Value$5.83$6.10$6.37
Upside / Downside-45.01%-42.54%-39.98%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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