Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Qingdao Vland Biotech Inc. (603739.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.34 - $31.11$15.23
Multi-Stage$6.25 - $6.81$6.52
Blended Fair Value$10.88
Current Price$13.69
Upside-20.54%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.29%0.61%0.230.160.220.150.130.130.260.250.220.11
YoY Growth--38.88%-24.63%39.64%16.08%5.23%-50.39%2.97%12.29%94.41%-46.63%
Dividend Yield--1.78%1.45%1.48%0.89%0.81%0.79%1.10%2.37%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)83.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)47.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.7110.456.27
Cash Retained (M)35.8035.8035.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.71-10.45-6.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.0825.3529.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)244.21244.21244.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.270.300.32
WACC / Discount Rate8.59%8.59%8.59%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$9.34$15.23$31.11
Upside / Downside-31.81%11.26%127.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)83.5789.0094.79100.95107.51114.50117.93
Payout Ratio57.16%63.73%70.30%76.87%83.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)47.7756.7266.6377.5989.70103.05109.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.59%8.59%8.59%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)51.7452.2352.72
Year 2 PV (M)55.4556.5057.57
Year 3 PV (M)58.9060.5962.32
Year 4 PV (M)62.1164.5066.96
Year 5 PV (M)65.0968.2471.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,231.901,291.401,353.18
Equity Value (M)1,525.191,593.471,664.24
Shares Outstanding (M)244.21244.21244.21
Fair Value$6.25$6.52$6.81
Upside / Downside-54.38%-52.34%-50.22%

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