DDM Analysis: 603700.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$8.02 - $17.04	$11.39
Multi-Stage	$36.53 - $40.37	$38.41
Blended Fair Value	$24.90
Current Price	$11.90
Upside	109.25%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-4.74%	-0.30%	0.31	0.32	0.81	0.42	0.24	0.39	0.24	0.36	0.24	0.05
YoY Growth	-	-	-3.88%	-60.86%	94.87%	74.97%	-38.86%	61.01%	-33.67%	50.35%	405.56%	-84.76%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.66%	2.69%	5.77%	2.48%	0.94%	1.62%	1.03%	1.98%	1.32%	0.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	92.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	40.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)	51.68

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	18.52	11.58	6.95
Cash Retained (M)	51.68	51.68	51.68
(-) Cash Required (M)	-18.52	-11.58	-6.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)	33.16	40.11	44.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	200.72	200.72	200.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.17	0.20	0.22
LTM Dividend per Share	0.20	0.20	0.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.17	0.20	0.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.37	0.40	0.43
WACC / Discount Rate	2.20%	2.20%	2.20%
Growth Rate	-2.30%	-1.30%	-0.30%
Fair Value	$8.02	$11.39	$17.04
Upside / Downside	-32.63%	-4.27%	43.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	92.60	91.40	90.21	89.04	87.88	86.73	89.34
Payout Ratio	44.19%	53.35%	62.51%	71.68%	80.84%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	40.92	48.76	56.39	63.82	71.04	78.06	82.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	2.20%	2.20%	2.20%
Growth Rate	-2.30%	-1.30%	-0.30%
Year 1 PV (M)	47.23	47.71	48.20
Year 2 PV (M)	52.91	53.99	55.09
Year 3 PV (M)	57.99	59.79	61.63
Year 4 PV (M)	62.53	65.12	67.80
Year 5 PV (M)	66.55	70.02	73.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)	7,044.85	7,412.85	7,796.06
Equity Value (M)	7,332.05	7,709.50	8,102.43
Shares Outstanding (M)	200.72	200.72	200.72
Fair Value	$36.53	$38.41	$40.37
Upside / Downside	206.96%	222.77%	239.22%

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Ningbo Water Meter (Group) Co., Ltd. (603700.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener