Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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YouYou Foods Co., Ltd. (603697.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.54 - $14.27$10.26
Multi-Stage$12.72 - $13.96$13.33
Blended Fair Value$11.79
Current Price$11.38
Upside3.65%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS31.86%0.00%0.520.330.470.230.060.130.000.100.080.04
YoY Growth--55.26%-28.90%100.87%304.18%-55.51%0.00%-100.00%20.00%125.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.31%4.82%4.47%2.33%0.47%1.25%0.00%1.18%0.99%0.44%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)209.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)132.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)77.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)41.9726.2315.74
Cash Retained (M)77.3177.3177.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-41.97-26.23-15.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)35.3351.0761.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)423.52423.52423.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.120.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.310.310.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.120.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.400.430.46
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate1.00%2.00%3.00%
Fair Value$7.54$10.26$14.27
Upside / Downside-33.73%-9.81%25.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)209.87214.07218.35222.72227.18231.72238.68
Payout Ratio63.16%68.53%73.90%79.27%84.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)132.57146.71161.36176.54192.27208.55220.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate1.00%2.00%3.00%
Year 1 PV (M)136.65138.00139.35
Year 2 PV (M)139.99142.78145.59
Year 3 PV (M)142.66146.94151.30
Year 4 PV (M)144.71150.53156.52
Year 5 PV (M)146.20153.58161.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,676.064,912.185,157.74
Equity Value (M)5,386.265,644.005,911.76
Shares Outstanding (M)423.52423.52423.52
Fair Value$12.72$13.33$13.96
Upside / Downside11.76%17.10%22.66%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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