Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

KTK Group Co., Ltd. (603680.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RailroadsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$104.35 - $123.03$115.26
Multi-Stage$97.53 - $107.46$102.40
Blended Fair Value$108.83
Current Price$12.40
Upside777.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-8.77%-2.64%0.160.140.210.240.360.260.241.220.030.99
YoY Growth--15.08%-32.61%-10.16%-35.25%40.10%6.35%-80.03%4,220.98%-97.15%362.61%
Dividend Yield--1.96%1.74%2.35%2.94%2.30%2.85%1.84%5.69%0.11%3.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)504.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)144.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)360.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)100.9263.0737.84
Cash Retained (M)360.21360.21360.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-100.92-63.07-37.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)259.29297.14322.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)783.86783.86783.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.330.380.41
LTM Dividend per Share0.180.180.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.330.380.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.510.560.60
WACC / Discount Rate-7.12%-7.12%-7.12%
Growth Rate1.31%2.31%3.31%
Fair Value$104.35$115.26$123.03
Upside / Downside741.51%829.48%892.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)504.60516.25528.18540.38552.86565.64582.60
Payout Ratio28.61%40.89%53.17%65.45%77.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)144.39211.10280.83353.66429.70509.07538.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-7.12%-7.12%-7.12%
Growth Rate1.31%2.31%3.31%
Year 1 PV (M)225.06227.28229.50
Year 2 PV (M)319.18325.52331.91
Year 3 PV (M)428.54441.35454.42
Year 4 PV (M)555.11577.35600.26
Year 5 PV (M)701.12736.41773.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)74,221.3677,957.4781,842.54
Equity Value (M)76,450.3780,265.3884,231.74
Shares Outstanding (M)783.86783.86783.86
Fair Value$97.53$102.40$107.46
Upside / Downside686.54%725.79%766.60%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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