Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Zhejiang Jiuzhou Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd (603456.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$66.48 - $161.75$151.59
Multi-Stage$23.64 - $25.87$24.73
Blended Fair Value$88.16
Current Price$19.45
Upside353.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.94%29.38%0.530.400.230.190.180.180.100.050.070.05
YoY Growth--31.41%71.95%25.44%3.50%-0.32%79.95%102.12%-33.33%59.96%15.86%
Dividend Yield--3.83%2.23%0.71%0.39%0.47%0.88%1.07%0.52%0.75%0.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)722.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)283.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)439.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)144.5790.3654.22
Cash Retained (M)439.78439.78439.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-144.57-90.36-54.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)295.21349.42385.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)888.78888.78888.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.330.390.43
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.330.390.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.650.710.75
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$66.48$151.59$161.75
Upside / Downside241.78%679.36%731.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)722.87769.86819.90873.19929.95990.401,020.11
Payout Ratio39.16%49.33%59.50%69.66%79.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)283.09379.77487.82608.31742.40891.36943.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)353.13356.48359.83
Year 2 PV (M)421.79429.82437.93
Year 3 PV (M)489.08503.12517.43
Year 4 PV (M)555.03576.38598.33
Year 5 PV (M)619.66649.59680.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,569.0719,465.9620,397.18
Equity Value (M)21,007.7721,981.3622,991.37
Shares Outstanding (M)888.78888.78888.78
Fair Value$23.64$24.73$25.87
Upside / Downside21.53%27.16%33.00%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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