Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Shanghai Longcheer Technology Co., Ltd. (603341.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$209.96 - $247.36$231.82
Multi-Stage$152.22 - $167.03$159.49
Blended Fair Value$195.65
Current Price$48.00
Upside307.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS68.09%0.00%0.610.081.060.280.090.050.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--634.90%-92.16%283.89%217.52%90.97%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.40%0.17%4.07%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)577.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)261.27
(=) Cash Retained (M)316.28
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)115.5172.1943.32
Cash Retained (M)316.28316.28316.28
(-) Cash Required (M)-115.51-72.19-43.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)200.77244.09272.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)464.34464.34464.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.430.530.59
LTM Dividend per Share0.560.560.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.430.530.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.001.091.15
WACC / Discount Rate1.04%1.04%1.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$209.96$231.82$247.36
Upside / Downside337.41%382.95%415.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)577.55615.09655.07697.65743.00791.30815.03
Payout Ratio45.24%54.19%63.14%72.10%81.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)261.27333.32413.63502.97602.18712.17753.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.04%1.04%1.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)326.78329.88332.98
Year 2 PV (M)397.57405.14412.78
Year 3 PV (M)473.96487.56501.43
Year 4 PV (M)556.32577.71599.72
Year 5 PV (M)645.02676.18708.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)68,282.6871,580.7675,005.06
Equity Value (M)70,682.3274,057.2377,560.49
Shares Outstanding (M)464.34464.34464.34
Fair Value$152.22$159.49$167.03
Upside / Downside217.13%232.27%247.99%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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