DDM Analysis: 603090.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$32.49 - $129.88	$87.36
Multi-Stage	$15.96 - $17.44	$16.69
Blended Fair Value	$52.02
Current Price	$53.03
Upside	-1.90%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	21.77%	16.00%	0.33	0.33	0.33	0.02	0.13	0.12	0.10	0.20	0.07	0.30
YoY Growth	-	-	-1.10%	0.84%	1,537.57%	-84.00%	2.44%	23.60%	-50.00%	166.67%	-75.00%	300.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.47%	1.44%	1.37%	0.08%	1.01%	0.71%	0.55%	1.08%	0.19%	2.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	65.97
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	31.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)	34.52

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	13.19	8.25	4.95
Cash Retained (M)	34.52	34.52	34.52
(-) Cash Required (M)	-13.19	-8.25	-4.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)	21.32	26.27	29.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	101.02	101.02	101.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.21	0.26	0.29
LTM Dividend per Share	0.31	0.31	0.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.21	0.26	0.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.52	0.57	0.60
WACC / Discount Rate	7.20%	7.20%	7.20%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$32.49	$87.36	$129.88
Upside / Downside	-38.74%	64.73%	144.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	65.97	70.26	74.83	79.69	84.87	90.38	93.10
Payout Ratio	47.68%	56.14%	64.61%	73.07%	81.54%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	31.45	39.44	48.34	58.23	69.20	81.35	86.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.20%	7.20%	7.20%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	36.45	36.80	37.14
Year 2 PV (M)	41.28	42.07	42.86
Year 3 PV (M)	45.95	47.27	48.61
Year 4 PV (M)	50.46	52.40	54.40
Year 5 PV (M)	54.82	57.47	60.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,382.87	1,449.66	1,519.01
Equity Value (M)	1,611.83	1,685.67	1,762.24
Shares Outstanding (M)	101.02	101.02	101.02
Fair Value	$15.96	$16.69	$17.44
Upside / Downside	-69.91%	-68.53%	-67.10%

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Wuxi Hongsheng Heat Exchanger Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (603090.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener