DDM Analysis: 601958.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$17.29 - $35.86	$24.34
Multi-Stage	$12.66 - $13.83	$13.23
Blended Fair Value	$18.79
Current Price	$15.45
Upside	21.60%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	12.87%	17.00%	0.27	0.30	0.10	0.25	0.30	0.14	0.06	0.02	0.02	0.06
YoY Growth	-	-	-11.07%	200.00%	-60.00%	-16.67%	105.95%	155.25%	162.49%	20.61%	-67.69%	0.55%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.51%	2.59%	0.85%	3.75%	4.98%	2.40%	0.79%	0.32%	0.23%	0.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,074.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	429.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,644.25

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	614.81	384.26	230.56
Cash Retained (M)	2,644.25	2,644.25	2,644.25
(-) Cash Required (M)	-614.81	-384.26	-230.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,029.43	2,259.99	2,413.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,241.91	3,241.91	3,241.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.63	0.70	0.74
LTM Dividend per Share	0.13	0.13	0.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.63	0.70	0.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.76	0.83	0.88
WACC / Discount Rate	10.13%	10.13%	10.13%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$17.29	$24.34	$35.86
Upside / Downside	11.89%	57.57%	132.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,074.07	3,273.88	3,486.68	3,713.32	3,954.68	4,211.74	4,338.09
Payout Ratio	13.98%	29.19%	44.39%	59.59%	74.80%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	429.82	955.51	1,547.72	2,212.87	2,957.96	3,790.57	4,012.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.13%	10.13%	10.13%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	859.47	867.62	875.77
Year 2 PV (M)	1,252.24	1,276.09	1,300.17
Year 3 PV (M)	1,610.47	1,656.70	1,703.81
Year 4 PV (M)	1,936.36	2,010.83	2,087.43
Year 5 PV (M)	2,232.01	2,339.82	2,451.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)	33,140.89	34,741.61	36,403.59
Equity Value (M)	41,031.45	42,892.67	44,822.51
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,241.91	3,241.91	3,241.91
Fair Value	$12.66	$13.23	$13.83
Upside / Downside	-18.08%	-14.36%	-10.51%

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Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co., Ltd. (601958.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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