DDM Analysis: 601208.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$4.77 - $12.22	$7.21
Multi-Stage	$3.47 - $3.78	$3.62
Blended Fair Value	$5.42
Current Price	$20.24
Upside	-73.24%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	53.73%	11.82%	0.21	0.16	0.14	0.10	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.07	0.05	0.08
YoY Growth	-	-	31.28%	12.75%	45.89%	308.34%	-2.62%	-45.54%	-39.25%	45.63%	-40.30%	23.75%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.14%	1.76%	1.06%	0.80%	0.22%	0.61%	1.07%	1.67%	0.85%	1.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	227.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	155.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)	72.25

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	45.56	28.47	17.08
Cash Retained (M)	72.25	72.25	72.25
(-) Cash Required (M)	-45.56	-28.47	-17.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)	26.69	43.77	55.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,089.43	1,089.43	1,089.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.02	0.04	0.05
LTM Dividend per Share	0.14	0.14	0.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.02	0.04	0.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.17	0.18	0.19
WACC / Discount Rate	9.20%	9.20%	9.20%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$4.77	$7.21	$12.22
Upside / Downside	-76.45%	-64.37%	-39.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	227.78	242.58	258.35	275.15	293.03	312.08	321.44
Payout Ratio	68.28%	72.63%	76.97%	81.31%	85.66%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	155.53	176.18	198.85	223.73	251.00	280.87	297.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.20%	9.20%	9.20%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	159.82	161.33	162.85
Year 2 PV (M)	163.64	166.75	169.90
Year 3 PV (M)	167.01	171.80	176.69
Year 4 PV (M)	169.97	176.50	183.23
Year 5 PV (M)	172.53	180.87	189.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,945.03	3,087.28	3,234.97
Equity Value (M)	3,778.00	3,944.54	4,117.15
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,089.43	1,089.43	1,089.43
Fair Value	$3.47	$3.62	$3.78
Upside / Downside	-82.87%	-82.11%	-81.33%

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Sichuan Em Technology Co., Ltd. (601208.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener