DDM Analysis: 600861.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$181.94 - $406.48	$380.93
Multi-Stage	$60.74 - $66.50	$63.57
Blended Fair Value	$222.25
Current Price	$18.81
Upside	1,081.55%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	51.36%	12.07%	0.52	0.03	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.06	0.09	0.13	0.18	0.19
YoY Growth	-	-	1,394.09%	-13.90%	119.09%	63.64%	-82.77%	-28.46%	-32.62%	-24.97%	-4.40%	13.77%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.41%	0.17%	0.17%	0.07%	0.08%	0.64%	1.09%	1.50%	1.25%	1.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,157.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	403.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)	753.84

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	231.42	144.64	86.78
Cash Retained (M)	753.84	753.84	753.84
(-) Cash Required (M)	-231.42	-144.64	-86.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)	522.42	609.20	667.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	566.11	566.11	566.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.92	1.08	1.18
LTM Dividend per Share	0.71	0.71	0.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.92	1.08	1.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.64	1.79	1.89
WACC / Discount Rate	6.45%	6.45%	6.45%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$181.94	$380.93	$406.48
Upside / Downside	867.27%	1,925.16%	2,060.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,157.08	1,232.29	1,312.39	1,397.70	1,488.55	1,585.30	1,632.86
Payout Ratio	34.85%	45.88%	56.91%	67.94%	78.97%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	403.24	565.38	746.88	949.60	1,175.51	1,426.77	1,510.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.45%	6.45%	6.45%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	526.14	531.13	536.11
Year 2 PV (M)	646.82	659.14	671.57
Year 3 PV (M)	765.30	787.27	809.66
Year 4 PV (M)	881.63	915.53	950.40
Year 5 PV (M)	995.82	1,043.91	1,093.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)	30,572.54	32,049.21	33,582.39
Equity Value (M)	34,388.24	35,986.19	37,643.99
Shares Outstanding (M)	566.11	566.11	566.11
Fair Value	$60.74	$63.57	$66.50
Upside / Downside	222.94%	237.94%	253.51%

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FESCO Group Co., Ltd. (600861.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener