DDM Analysis: 600764.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$6.91 - $16.24	$10.16
Multi-Stage	$4.94 - $5.40	$5.17
Blended Fair Value	$7.66
Current Price	$31.31
Upside	-75.52%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	33.90%	47.48%	0.23	0.25	0.36	0.32	0.27	0.05	0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-8.56%	-31.20%	13.63%	15.73%	420.28%	51.96%	638.85%	-73.29%	277.04%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.81%	1.14%	1.40%	1.18%	1.00%	0.19%	0.10%	0.02%	0.06%	0.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	233.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	70.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)	162.17

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	46.62	29.14	17.48
Cash Retained (M)	162.17	162.17	162.17
(-) Cash Required (M)	-46.62	-29.14	-17.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)	115.54	133.03	144.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	710.79	710.79	710.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.16	0.19	0.20
LTM Dividend per Share	0.10	0.10	0.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.16	0.19	0.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.26	0.29	0.30
WACC / Discount Rate	9.51%	9.51%	9.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$6.91	$10.16	$16.24
Upside / Downside	-77.94%	-67.55%	-48.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	233.11	248.26	264.40	281.58	299.89	319.38	328.96
Payout Ratio	30.43%	42.35%	54.26%	66.17%	78.09%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	70.94	105.13	143.46	186.33	234.17	287.44	304.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.51%	9.51%	9.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	95.10	96.00	96.90
Year 2 PV (M)	117.40	119.63	121.89
Year 3 PV (M)	137.93	141.89	145.93
Year 4 PV (M)	156.81	162.84	169.04
Year 5 PV (M)	174.12	182.53	191.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,832.44	2,969.25	3,111.29
Equity Value (M)	3,513.79	3,672.14	3,836.31
Shares Outstanding (M)	710.79	710.79	710.79
Fair Value	$4.94	$5.17	$5.40
Upside / Downside	-84.21%	-83.50%	-82.76%

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China Marine Information Electronics Company Limited (600764.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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