Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels Co., Ltd. (600754.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel LodgingSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.20 - $12.92$9.60
Multi-Stage$10.06 - $11.03$10.53
Blended Fair Value$10.07
Current Price$23.05
Upside-56.33%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.56%15.00%1.130.480.280.330.860.950.940.960.950.62
YoY Growth--132.50%70.73%-13.08%-61.93%-9.31%0.45%-2.10%0.73%53.02%124.11%
Dividend Yield--4.22%1.73%0.45%0.66%1.55%3.93%3.08%2.82%3.31%1.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)551.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)262.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)288.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)110.2968.9341.36
Cash Retained (M)288.55288.55288.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-110.29-68.93-41.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)178.27219.63247.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,066.071,066.071,066.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.210.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.210.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.410.450.48
WACC / Discount Rate7.40%7.40%7.40%
Growth Rate1.56%2.56%3.56%
Fair Value$7.20$9.60$12.92
Upside / Downside-68.75%-58.35%-43.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)551.43565.56580.05594.91610.16625.79644.57
Payout Ratio47.67%56.14%64.60%73.07%81.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)262.87317.49374.73434.69497.49563.21596.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.40%7.40%7.40%
Growth Rate1.56%2.56%3.56%
Year 1 PV (M)292.74295.62298.50
Year 2 PV (M)318.58324.88331.25
Year 3 PV (M)340.75350.91361.28
Year 4 PV (M)359.57373.94388.74
Year 5 PV (M)375.34394.19413.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,035.479,489.149,960.85
Equity Value (M)10,722.4511,228.6911,754.40
Shares Outstanding (M)1,066.071,066.071,066.07
Fair Value$10.06$10.53$11.03
Upside / Downside-56.36%-54.30%-52.17%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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