Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

INESA Intelligent Tech Inc. (600602.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.23 - $1.87$1.53
Multi-Stage$1.55 - $1.70$1.62
Blended Fair Value$1.58
Current Price$20.49
Upside-92.30%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.59%13.02%0.060.040.060.060.050.060.060.050.040.04
YoY Growth--45.56%-29.31%8.15%3.69%-10.73%-1.25%16.08%38.54%4.73%98.60%
Dividend Yield--0.26%0.32%0.54%0.66%0.93%0.85%0.59%0.67%0.41%0.32%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)189.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)164.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)37.9323.7114.23
Cash Retained (M)164.50164.50164.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-37.93-23.71-14.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)126.56140.79150.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,365.451,365.451,365.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.100.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.100.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.110.120.13
WACC / Discount Rate9.91%9.91%9.91%
Growth Rate0.84%1.84%2.84%
Fair Value$1.23$1.53$1.87
Upside / Downside-93.97%-92.52%-90.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)189.67193.16196.70200.31203.99207.73213.96
Payout Ratio13.27%28.62%43.96%59.31%74.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25.1755.2886.48118.80152.29186.96197.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.91%9.91%9.91%
Growth Rate0.84%1.84%2.84%
Year 1 PV (M)49.8050.2950.79
Year 2 PV (M)70.1971.5973.00
Year 3 PV (M)86.8789.4892.14
Year 4 PV (M)100.32104.36108.52
Year 5 PV (M)110.95116.56122.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,699.831,785.801,875.22
Equity Value (M)2,117.952,218.082,322.06
Shares Outstanding (M)1,365.451,365.451,365.45
Fair Value$1.55$1.62$1.70
Upside / Downside-92.43%-92.07%-91.70%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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