DDM Analysis: 600379.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$4.10 - $8.82	$5.85
Multi-Stage	$3.09 - $3.37	$3.23
Blended Fair Value	$4.54
Current Price	$12.49
Upside	-63.68%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	18.51%	13.47%	0.11	0.05	0.07	0.05	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02
YoY Growth	-	-	98.46%	-16.48%	41.50%	-44.42%	79.34%	80.23%	-38.80%	185.18%	-14.53%	-43.71%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.12%	0.62%	0.58%	0.39%	1.07%	0.88%	0.43%	0.63%	0.09%	0.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	70.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	33.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)	37.59

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	14.16	8.85	5.31
Cash Retained (M)	37.59	37.59	37.59
(-) Cash Required (M)	-14.16	-8.85	-5.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)	23.43	28.74	32.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	330.15	330.15	330.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.07	0.09	0.10
LTM Dividend per Share	0.10	0.10	0.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.07	0.09	0.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.17	0.19	0.20
WACC / Discount Rate	9.92%	9.92%	9.92%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$4.10	$5.85	$8.82
Upside / Downside	-67.20%	-53.20%	-29.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	70.79	75.39	80.29	85.51	91.07	96.99	99.90
Payout Ratio	46.90%	55.52%	64.14%	72.76%	81.38%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	33.20	41.86	51.50	62.22	74.11	87.29	92.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.92%	9.92%	9.92%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	37.72	38.08	38.44
Year 2 PV (M)	41.83	42.63	43.43
Year 3 PV (M)	45.54	46.85	48.18
Year 4 PV (M)	48.89	50.77	52.70
Year 5 PV (M)	51.90	54.40	57.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)	794.12	832.47	872.30
Equity Value (M)	1,020.00	1,065.20	1,112.06
Shares Outstanding (M)	330.15	330.15	330.15
Fair Value	$3.09	$3.23	$3.37
Upside / Downside	-75.26%	-74.17%	-73.03%

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Shaanxi Baoguang Vacuum Electric Device Co., Ltd. (600379.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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