DDM Analysis: 600332.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$149.83 - $365.29	$342.33
Multi-Stage	$53.76 - $58.81	$56.24
Blended Fair Value	$199.28
Current Price	$25.55
Upside	679.97%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	16.57%	18.57%	1.38	0.97	0.92	0.78	0.79	0.64	0.54	0.29	0.32	0.25
YoY Growth	-	-	41.98%	6.35%	17.73%	-1.85%	23.36%	20.12%	87.77%	-9.53%	27.72%	-2.10%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.23%	3.34%	2.77%	2.48%	2.85%	2.04%	1.35%	0.94%	1.11%	1.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,986.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,509.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,477.54

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	597.31	373.32	223.99
Cash Retained (M)	1,477.54	1,477.54	1,477.54
(-) Cash Required (M)	-597.31	-373.32	-223.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)	880.22	1,104.22	1,253.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,626.00	1,626.00	1,626.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.54	0.68	0.77
LTM Dividend per Share	0.93	0.93	0.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.54	0.68	0.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.47	1.61	1.70
WACC / Discount Rate	6.53%	6.53%	6.53%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$149.83	$342.33	$365.29
Upside / Downside	486.42%	1,239.83%	1,329.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,986.57	3,180.70	3,387.44	3,607.63	3,842.12	4,091.86	4,214.62
Payout Ratio	50.53%	58.42%	66.32%	74.21%	82.11%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,509.03	1,858.22	2,246.43	2,677.25	3,154.59	3,682.68	3,898.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.53%	6.53%	6.53%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,727.86	1,744.24	1,760.62
Year 2 PV (M)	1,942.30	1,979.30	2,016.64
Year 3 PV (M)	2,152.41	2,214.20	2,277.16
Year 4 PV (M)	2,358.26	2,448.95	2,542.23
Year 5 PV (M)	2,559.90	2,683.55	2,811.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)	76,667.94	80,371.03	84,215.84
Equity Value (M)	87,408.67	91,441.26	95,624.42
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,626.00	1,626.00	1,626.00
Fair Value	$53.76	$56.24	$58.81
Upside / Downside	110.40%	120.11%	130.17%

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Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited (600332.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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