DDM Analysis: 600295.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$13.73 - $33.56	$20.45
Multi-Stage	$18.00 - $19.71	$18.84
Blended Fair Value	$19.65
Current Price	$10.18
Upside	92.98%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	13.09%	4.01%	0.84	0.75	1.14	0.60	0.57	0.45	0.49	0.46	0.46	0.48
YoY Growth	-	-	10.94%	-33.78%	88.52%	6.06%	25.90%	-8.23%	6.24%	1.88%	-4.34%	-15.65%
Dividend Yield	-	-	9.13%	6.87%	10.40%	4.64%	7.01%	11.79%	10.09%	8.21%	8.90%	11.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,832.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,702.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)	129.61

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	366.46	229.04	137.42
Cash Retained (M)	129.61	129.61	129.61
(-) Cash Required (M)	-366.46	-229.04	-137.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-236.85	-99.43	-7.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,833.80	2,833.80	2,833.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.08	-0.04	0.00
LTM Dividend per Share	0.60	0.60	0.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.08	-0.04	0.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.52	0.57	0.60
WACC / Discount Rate	6.33%	6.33%	6.33%
Growth Rate	2.47%	3.47%	4.47%
Fair Value	$13.73	$20.45	$33.56
Upside / Downside	34.82%	100.93%	229.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,832.31	1,895.94	1,961.79	2,029.92	2,100.41	2,173.36	2,238.56
Payout Ratio	92.93%	92.34%	91.76%	91.17%	90.59%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,702.70	1,750.73	1,800.05	1,850.68	1,902.66	1,956.02	2,070.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.33%	6.33%	6.33%
Growth Rate	2.47%	3.47%	4.47%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,630.52	1,646.43	1,662.34
Year 2 PV (M)	1,561.34	1,591.96	1,622.88
Year 3 PV (M)	1,495.04	1,539.24	1,584.30
Year 4 PV (M)	1,431.49	1,488.19	1,546.56
Year 5 PV (M)	1,370.59	1,438.78	1,509.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)	43,507.44	45,672.15	47,922.19
Equity Value (M)	50,996.42	53,376.76	55,847.94
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,833.80	2,833.80	2,833.80
Fair Value	$18.00	$18.84	$19.71
Upside / Downside	76.78%	85.03%	93.59%

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Inner Mongolia Erdos Resources Co.,ltd. (600295.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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