DDM Analysis: 600256.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$5.35 - $10.77	$7.45
Multi-Stage	$4.03 - $4.40	$4.21
Blended Fair Value	$5.83
Current Price	$5.04
Upside	15.75%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	50.63%	17.74%	0.82	0.81	0.41	0.18	0.17	0.11	0.05	0.02	0.22	0.04
YoY Growth	-	-	1.39%	98.01%	128.18%	4.82%	61.51%	101.69%	115.05%	-88.76%	434.00%	-74.64%
Dividend Yield	-	-	13.47%	11.02%	4.41%	2.18%	5.50%	4.09%	1.18%	0.64%	5.09%	0.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,970.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	515.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,455.30

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	394.07	246.29	147.77
Cash Retained (M)	1,455.30	1,455.30	1,455.30
(-) Cash Required (M)	-394.07	-246.29	-147.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,061.23	1,209.01	1,307.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	6,433.42	6,433.42	6,433.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.16	0.19	0.20
LTM Dividend per Share	0.08	0.08	0.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.16	0.19	0.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.25	0.27	0.28
WACC / Discount Rate	10.33%	10.33%	10.33%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$5.35	$7.45	$10.77
Upside / Downside	6.21%	47.90%	113.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,970.33	2,098.40	2,234.80	2,380.06	2,534.76	2,699.52	2,780.51
Payout Ratio	26.14%	38.91%	51.68%	64.46%	77.23%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	515.03	816.52	1,155.02	1,534.08	1,957.54	2,429.57	2,571.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.33%	10.33%	10.33%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	733.13	740.08	747.03
Year 2 PV (M)	931.15	948.88	966.79
Year 3 PV (M)	1,110.43	1,142.31	1,174.79
Year 4 PV (M)	1,272.24	1,321.17	1,371.49
Year 5 PV (M)	1,417.75	1,486.23	1,557.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)	20,479.05	21,468.20	22,495.20
Equity Value (M)	25,943.75	27,106.86	28,312.62
Shares Outstanding (M)	6,433.42	6,433.42	6,433.42
Fair Value	$4.03	$4.21	$4.40
Upside / Downside	-19.99%	-16.40%	-12.68%

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Financial Statements

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Guanghui Energy Co., Ltd. (600256.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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