DDM Analysis: 600064.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$12.51 - $19.35	$15.68
Multi-Stage	$27.80 - $30.65	$29.20
Blended Fair Value	$22.44
Current Price	$8.06
Upside	178.39%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	15.40%	4.56%	0.44	0.47	0.54	0.36	0.37	0.22	0.15	0.30	0.25	0.17
YoY Growth	-	-	-6.68%	-11.58%	49.85%	-2.19%	69.21%	46.10%	-50.68%	20.73%	46.67%	-40.21%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.05%	7.50%	8.07%	4.89%	5.08%	3.66%	1.75%	5.69%	3.99%	2.76%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,325.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	362.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,962.50

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	465.04	290.65	174.39
Cash Retained (M)	1,962.50	1,962.50	1,962.50
(-) Cash Required (M)	-465.04	-290.65	-174.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,497.46	1,671.85	1,788.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,730.35	1,730.35	1,730.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.87	0.97	1.03
LTM Dividend per Share	0.21	0.21	0.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.87	0.97	1.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.08	1.18	1.24
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$12.51	$15.68	$19.35
Upside / Downside	55.15%	94.51%	140.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,325.22	2,301.97	2,278.95	2,256.16	2,233.60	2,211.26	2,277.60
Payout Ratio	15.60%	30.48%	45.36%	60.24%	75.12%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	362.72	701.63	1,033.72	1,359.10	1,677.87	1,990.13	2,106.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	652.61	659.27	665.93
Year 2 PV (M)	894.33	912.68	931.21
Year 3 PV (M)	1,093.70	1,127.52	1,162.03
Year 4 PV (M)	1,255.89	1,307.94	1,361.59
Year 5 PV (M)	1,385.55	1,457.70	1,532.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)	42,827.59	45,057.72	47,379.80
Equity Value (M)	48,109.66	50,522.82	53,033.38
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,730.35	1,730.35	1,730.35
Fair Value	$27.80	$29.20	$30.65
Upside / Downside	244.96%	262.26%	280.26%

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Nanjing Gaoke Company Limited (600064.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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