DDM Analysis: 5939.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2,502.22 - $3,582.26	$3,031.29
Multi-Stage	$3,844.18 - $4,227.79	$4,032.25
Blended Fair Value	$3,531.77
Current Price	$5,450.00
Upside	-35.20%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020
DPS	-0.13%	0.00%	29.89	29.94	30.02	29.92	29.83	30.08	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-0.15%	-0.28%	0.33%	0.29%	-0.82%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.55%	0.42%	0.27%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	282.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	23.25
(=) Cash Retained (M)	259.54

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	56.56	35.35	21.21
Cash Retained (M)	259.54	259.54	259.54
(-) Cash Required (M)	-56.56	-35.35	-21.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)	202.98	224.19	238.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	0.78	0.78	0.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share	260.51	287.73	305.88
LTM Dividend per Share	29.84	29.84	29.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share	260.51	287.73	305.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend	290.35	317.57	335.72
WACC / Discount Rate	9.37%	9.37%	9.37%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$2,502.22	$3,031.29	$3,582.26
Upside / Downside	-54.09%	-44.38%	-34.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	282.79	279.97	277.17	274.39	271.65	268.93	277.00
Payout Ratio	8.22%	24.58%	40.93%	57.29%	73.64%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	23.25	68.81	113.45	157.20	200.05	242.04	256.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.37%	9.37%	9.37%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	62.28	62.91	63.55
Year 2 PV (M)	92.94	94.84	96.77
Year 3 PV (M)	116.55	120.15	123.83
Year 4 PV (M)	134.24	139.81	145.54
Year 5 PV (M)	147.00	154.65	162.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,442.27	2,569.44	2,701.86
Equity Value (M)	2,995.27	3,141.81	3,294.17
Shares Outstanding (M)	0.78	0.78	0.78
Fair Value	$3,844.18	$4,032.25	$4,227.79
Upside / Downside	-29.46%	-26.01%	-22.43%

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Financial Statements

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Otani Kogyo Co.,Ltd. (5939.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener