Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

CALB Group Co., Ltd. (3931.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.54 - $7.18$5.75
Multi-Stage$11.54 - $12.72$12.12
Blended Fair Value$8.93
Current Price$15.60
Upside-42.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)808.17
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)343.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)465.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)161.63101.0260.61
Cash Retained (M)465.01465.01465.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-161.63-101.02-60.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)303.38363.99404.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,772.301,772.301,772.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.210.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.190.190.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.210.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.360.400.42
WACC / Discount Rate5.87%5.87%5.87%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.54$5.75$7.18
Upside / Downside-70.89%-63.15%-53.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)808.17800.08792.08784.16776.32768.56791.61
Payout Ratio42.46%51.97%61.48%70.98%80.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)343.15415.79486.94556.63624.88691.70732.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.87%5.87%5.87%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)388.76392.73396.70
Year 2 PV (M)425.69434.43443.25
Year 3 PV (M)454.98469.05483.41
Year 4 PV (M)477.56497.36517.76
Year 5 PV (M)494.27520.01546.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,217.8519,166.4920,154.25
Equity Value (M)20,459.1221,480.0722,542.17
Shares Outstanding (M)1,772.301,772.301,772.30
Fair Value$11.54$12.12$12.72
Upside / Downside-26.00%-22.31%-18.47%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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