Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Malayan Cement Berhad (3794.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.18 - $4.86$3.97
Multi-Stage$6.69 - $7.37$7.03
Blended Fair Value$5.50
Current Price$5.02
Upside9.51%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.110.100.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--11.34%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.11%1.83%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)672.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)198.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)473.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)134.4884.0550.43
Cash Retained (M)473.60473.60473.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-134.48-84.05-50.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)339.13389.56423.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,876.071,876.071,876.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.210.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.210.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.290.310.33
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.18$3.97$4.86
Upside / Downside-36.56%-20.94%-3.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)672.39665.66659.00652.41645.89639.43658.61
Payout Ratio29.56%41.65%53.74%65.83%77.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)198.78277.25354.14429.45503.23575.49609.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)256.92259.55262.17
Year 2 PV (M)304.11310.35316.65
Year 3 PV (M)341.75352.31363.10
Year 4 PV (M)371.09386.47402.32
Year 5 PV (M)393.26413.74435.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,891.2811,458.4112,048.93
Equity Value (M)12,558.4113,180.8313,828.23
Shares Outstanding (M)1,876.071,876.071,876.07
Fair Value$6.69$7.03$7.37
Upside / Downside33.35%39.96%46.83%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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