Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Jirfine Intelligent Equipment Co Ltd (301603.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$66.59 - $199.66$105.59
Multi-Stage$234.55 - $259.17$246.61
Blended Fair Value$176.10
Current Price$75.11
Upside134.46%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.820.020.060.410.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--4,363.68%-70.31%-84.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.63%0.03%0.11%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)331.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)108.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)222.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)66.2441.4024.84
Cash Retained (M)222.62222.62222.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-66.24-41.40-24.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)156.38181.22197.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)118.25118.25118.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.321.531.67
LTM Dividend per Share0.920.920.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.321.531.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.242.452.59
WACC / Discount Rate1.30%1.30%1.30%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$66.59$105.59$199.66
Upside / Downside-11.35%40.59%165.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)331.18327.87324.59321.34318.13314.95324.39
Payout Ratio32.78%44.22%55.67%67.11%78.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)108.56144.99180.69215.66249.91283.45300.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.30%1.30%1.30%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)141.69143.14144.58
Year 2 PV (M)172.55176.09179.67
Year 3 PV (M)201.25207.48213.83
Year 4 PV (M)227.90237.35247.08
Year 5 PV (M)252.60265.76279.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)26,740.9628,133.4329,583.30
Equity Value (M)27,736.9729,163.2430,647.92
Shares Outstanding (M)118.25118.25118.25
Fair Value$234.55$246.61$259.17
Upside / Downside212.28%228.34%245.05%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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