Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Yantai Ishikawa Sealing Technology Co.,Ltd. (301020.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.91 - $16.29$11.96
Multi-Stage$8.62 - $9.43$9.02
Blended Fair Value$10.49
Current Price$22.75
Upside-53.89%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.73%19.52%0.350.180.270.000.220.330.080.090.020.36
YoY Growth--94.44%-33.33%0.00%-100.00%-33.33%317.82%-12.47%278.77%-93.32%520.08%
Dividend Yield--1.61%0.91%1.28%0.00%0.67%1.00%0.24%0.27%0.07%1.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)89.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)65.73
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.8311.146.69
Cash Retained (M)65.7365.7365.73
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.83-11.14-6.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)47.9054.5859.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)147.67147.67147.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.320.370.40
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.320.370.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.480.530.56
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate3.69%4.69%5.69%
Fair Value$8.91$11.96$16.29
Upside / Downside-60.86%-47.43%-28.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)89.1593.3397.72102.30107.10112.13115.49
Payout Ratio26.27%39.02%51.76%64.51%77.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23.4236.4250.5865.9982.74100.92106.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate3.69%4.69%5.69%
Year 1 PV (M)33.0033.3133.63
Year 2 PV (M)41.5242.3343.14
Year 3 PV (M)49.0850.5251.98
Year 4 PV (M)55.7657.9460.18
Year 5 PV (M)61.6164.6467.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,032.441,083.191,135.92
Equity Value (M)1,273.411,331.931,392.65
Shares Outstanding (M)147.67147.67147.67
Fair Value$8.62$9.02$9.43
Upside / Downside-62.09%-60.35%-58.55%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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