Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $11.13 - $17.33 | $13.99 |
| Multi-Stage | $26.99 - $29.67 | $28.30 |
| Blended Fair Value | $21.15 | |
| Current Price | $16.46 | |
| Upside | 28.47% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -6.45% | 0.00% | 0.73 | 0.87 | 1.09 | 0.50 | 0.62 | 1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -16.09% | -20.18% | 118.00% | -19.87% | -38.76% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 3.85% | 4.71% | 5.06% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 358.28 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 308.81 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 49.47 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 71.66 | 44.78 | 26.87 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 49.47 | 49.47 | 49.47 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -71.66 | -44.78 | -26.87 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | -22.19 | 4.69 | 22.60 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 305.74 | 305.74 | 305.74 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | -0.07 | 0.02 | 0.07 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 1.01 | 1.01 | 1.01 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | -0.07 | 0.02 | 0.07 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.94 | 1.03 | 1.08 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Fair Value | $11.13 | $13.99 | $17.33 |
| Upside / Downside | -32.38% | -14.99% | 5.30% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 358.28 | 354.69 | 351.15 | 347.63 | 344.16 | 340.72 | 350.94 |
| Payout Ratio | 86.19% | 86.95% | 87.72% | 88.48% | 89.24% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 308.81 | 308.42 | 308.01 | 307.58 | 307.12 | 306.65 | 324.62 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 287.33 | 290.27 | 293.20 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 267.33 | 272.82 | 278.36 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 248.71 | 256.40 | 264.25 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 231.36 | 240.95 | 250.83 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 215.21 | 226.42 | 238.08 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 7,001.06 | 7,365.62 | 7,745.21 |
| Equity Value (M) | 8,251.00 | 8,652.47 | 9,069.93 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 305.74 | 305.74 | 305.74 |
| Fair Value | $26.99 | $28.30 | $29.67 |
| Upside / Downside | 63.95% | 71.93% | 80.23% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TC.BK | Tropical Canning (Thailand) Public Company Limited | 6.05% | $0.30 | 42.33% |
| 8984.T | Daiwa House REIT Investment Corporation | 6.04% | $8,653.99 | 81.69% |
| 0R40.L | Rai Way S.p.A. | 6.03% | $0.33 | 99.60% |
| 3600.HK | Modern Dental Group Limited | 6.03% | $0.32 | 34.31% |
| 003460.KS | Yuhwa Securities co.,ltd. | 6.02% | $162.45 | 83.00% |
| 298540.KQ | The Nature Holdings Co., Ltd. | 6.02% | $521.44 | 76.58% |
| 6263.TWO | Planet Technology Corporation | 6.02% | $7.86 | 95.87% |
| NZX.NZ | NZX Limited | 6.02% | $0.09 | 77.46% |
| WLMM3.SA | WLM Participações e Comércio de Máquinas e Veículos S.A. | 6.02% | $1.23 | 40.06% |
| 1760.HK | Intron Technology Holdings Limited | 6.01% | $0.12 | 30.56% |
| 5209.KL | Gas Malaysia Berhad | 6.01% | $0.26 | 82.61% |
| ALLAN.PA | Lanson-BCC | 6.01% | $1.96 | 26.09% |
| QAMC.QA | Qatar Aluminium Manufacturing Company Q.P.S.C. | 6.00% | $0.10 | 74.36% |
| 0237.HK | Safety Godown Company, Limited | 5.99% | $0.12 | 71.07% |
| 8986.T | Daiwa Securities Living Investment Corporation | 5.99% | $6,829.90 | 63.32% |
| ASX.AX | ASX Limited | 5.99% | $3.08 | 67.16% |
| MKP.TO | MCAN Mortgage Corporation | 5.99% | $1.35 | 74.01% |
| 0QMU.L | Compagnie Financière Richemont S.A. | 5.98% | $6.91 | 67.79% |
| 8924.TWO | O-TA Precision Industry Co., Ltd. | 5.98% | $4.29 | 80.38% |
| FMTY14.MX | Fibra Mty, S.A.P.I. de C.V. | 5.98% | $0.93 | 46.45% |
| HUMAN.BK | Humanica Public Company Limited | 5.98% | $0.30 | 74.76% |
| 603368.SS | Guangxi LiuYao Group Co., Ltd | 5.97% | $1.06 | 53.83% |
| 6069.HK | SY Holdings Group Limited | 5.97% | $0.67 | 97.72% |
| ASII.JK | PT Astra International Tbk | 5.97% | $405.75 | 50.28% |
| PXT.TO | Parex Resources Inc. | 5.97% | $1.12 | 86.22% |
| SB | Safe Bulkers, Inc. | 5.97% | $0.29 | 64.01% |
| 1562.KL | Sports Toto Berhad | 5.96% | $0.08 | 49.23% |
| 8442.TW | WW Holding Inc. | 5.96% | $4.19 | 72.79% |
| NTV.BK | Nonthavej Hospital Public Company Limited | 5.96% | $1.37 | 66.11% |
| WLE.AX | WAM Leaders Limited | 5.96% | $0.08 | 8.04% |
| 094280.KS | Hyosung ITX Co. Ltd. | 5.95% | $751.76 | 70.97% |
| O3P.DE | Österreichische Post AG | 5.95% | $1.88 | 98.14% |
| PWO.DE | PWO AG | 5.95% | $1.75 | 48.89% |
| 0898.HK | Multifield International Holdings Limited | 5.94% | $0.06 | 9.32% |
| 1155.KL | Malayan Banking Berhad | 5.94% | $0.62 | 72.18% |
| PORT3.SA | Wilson Sons S.A. | 5.94% | $1.11 | 73.49% |
| 009680.KS | Motonic Corporation | 5.93% | $599.08 | 42.49% |
| 3010.SR | Arabian Cement Company | 5.93% | $1.29 | 91.83% |
| PGW.NZ | PGG Wrightson Limited | 5.93% | $0.13 | 70.38% |
| 0GX2.L | Neurones S.A. | 5.92% | $2.49 | 61.25% |
| 4012.SR | Thob Al Aseel Company | 5.92% | $0.20 | 89.05% |
| 9585.SR | Mulkia Investment Co. | 5.92% | $2.01 | 37.97% |
| HEN.DE | Henkel AG & Co. KGaA | 5.92% | $3.87 | 41.88% |
| KKP.BK | Kiatnakin Phatra Bank Public Company Limited | 5.92% | $4.02 | 63.80% |
| 030000.KS | Cheil Worldwide Inc. | 5.91% | $1,232.93 | 68.46% |
| 0RCW.L | Kid ASA | 5.91% | $8.00 | 99.60% |
| ARSA.ME | Arsagera Asset Management | 5.91% | $0.50 | 52.65% |
| DBM.TO | Doman Building Materials Group Ltd. | 5.91% | $0.56 | 65.99% |
| DU.AE | Emirates Integrated Telecommunications Company PJSC | 5.91% | $0.58 | 95.05% |
| NXR-UN.TO | Nexus Industrial REIT | 5.91% | $0.47 | 57.77% |