Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

EDA Group Holdings Limited (2505.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.16 - $1.55$1.36
Multi-Stage$1.30 - $1.43$1.36
Blended Fair Value$1.36
Current Price$2.37
Upside-42.50%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.020.060.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---60.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.00%1.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)106.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)97.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.3713.358.01
Cash Retained (M)97.6397.6397.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.37-13.35-8.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)76.2684.2889.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)416.24416.24416.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.200.22
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.200.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.210.220.24
WACC / Discount Rate15.31%15.31%15.31%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.16$1.36$1.55
Upside / Downside-50.96%-42.50%-34.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)106.83105.76104.71103.66102.62101.60104.64
Payout Ratio8.61%24.89%41.17%57.44%73.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.2026.3243.1059.5575.6591.4496.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate15.31%15.31%15.31%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)22.6022.8323.06
Year 2 PV (M)31.7632.4233.07
Year 3 PV (M)37.6738.8340.02
Year 4 PV (M)41.0842.7944.54
Year 5 PV (M)42.6244.8447.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)366.43385.51405.38
Equity Value (M)542.17567.22593.23
Shares Outstanding (M)416.24416.24416.24
Fair Value$1.30$1.36$1.43
Upside / Downside-45.04%-42.50%-39.86%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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