Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Gushengtang Holdings Limited (2273.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.72 - $31.01$25.60
Multi-Stage$39.42 - $43.40$41.37
Blended Fair Value$33.48
Current Price$31.33
Upside6.87%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.110.360.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---68.52%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.36%0.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)617.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)117.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)499.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)123.4977.1846.31
Cash Retained (M)499.88499.88499.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-123.49-77.18-46.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)376.39422.70453.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)247.48247.48247.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.521.711.83
LTM Dividend per Share0.470.470.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.521.711.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.002.182.31
WACC / Discount Rate7.44%7.44%7.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$20.72$25.60$31.01
Upside / Downside-33.88%-18.29%-1.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)617.43611.25605.14599.09593.10587.17604.78
Payout Ratio19.04%33.23%47.42%61.62%75.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)117.55203.12286.98369.13449.61528.45559.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.44%7.44%7.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)187.15189.06190.96
Year 2 PV (M)243.60248.60253.65
Year 3 PV (M)288.69297.62306.73
Year 4 PV (M)323.97337.40351.24
Year 5 PV (M)350.82369.09388.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,360.468,795.819,249.11
Equity Value (M)9,754.6810,237.5610,739.79
Shares Outstanding (M)247.48247.48247.48
Fair Value$39.42$41.37$43.40
Upside / Downside25.81%32.04%38.51%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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