Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sisram Medical Ltd (1696.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.05 - $4.99$3.05
Multi-Stage$1.48 - $1.61$1.54
Blended Fair Value$2.30
Current Price$0.55
Upside314.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.02%0.00%0.020.020.020.010.010.010.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---9.61%12.71%122.50%-33.20%11.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.17%3.33%1.75%0.73%3.14%2.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)44.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)24.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.835.523.31
Cash Retained (M)24.1424.1424.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.83-5.52-3.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.3118.6220.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)468.13468.13468.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.080.080.09
WACC / Discount Rate9.38%9.38%9.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2.05$3.05$4.99
Upside / Downside270.32%450.83%800.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)44.1547.0250.0853.3356.8060.4962.31
Payout Ratio45.32%54.26%63.19%72.13%81.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20.0125.5131.6538.4746.0454.4457.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.38%9.38%9.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)23.1123.3223.54
Year 2 PV (M)25.9626.4526.95
Year 3 PV (M)28.5829.4030.23
Year 4 PV (M)30.9832.1733.39
Year 5 PV (M)33.1734.7736.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)550.37576.96604.56
Equity Value (M)692.16723.07755.11
Shares Outstanding (M)468.13468.13468.13
Fair Value$1.48$1.54$1.61
Upside / Downside166.90%178.82%191.18%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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