Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy Group Limited (1250.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Renewable UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.87 - $4.62$3.66
Multi-Stage$7.84 - $8.65$8.24
Blended Fair Value$5.95
Current Price$1.58
Upside276.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.040.030.030.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%9.12%-1.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.73%0.49%1.06%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)617.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)596.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)123.4477.1546.29
Cash Retained (M)596.69596.69596.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-123.44-77.15-46.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)473.24519.53550.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,246.592,246.592,246.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.230.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.230.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.220.240.25
WACC / Discount Rate5.50%5.50%5.50%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.87$3.66$4.62
Upside / Downside81.87%131.89%192.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)617.22611.04604.93598.88592.90586.97604.58
Payout Ratio3.33%20.66%38.00%55.33%72.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20.53126.25229.85331.37430.83528.27559.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.50%5.50%5.50%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)118.46119.67120.88
Year 2 PV (M)202.38206.53210.72
Year 3 PV (M)273.77282.23290.87
Year 4 PV (M)333.99347.83362.10
Year 5 PV (M)384.27404.28425.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,300.8617,149.6818,033.50
Equity Value (M)17,613.7218,510.2319,443.19
Shares Outstanding (M)2,246.592,246.592,246.59
Fair Value$7.84$8.24$8.65
Upside / Downside396.22%421.47%447.76%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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