DDM Analysis: 0R9H.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$32.93 - $83.73	$78.47
Multi-Stage	$11.88 - $13.01	$12.43
Blended Fair Value	$45.45
Current Price	$1.75
Upside	2,497.18%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-5.68%	22.19%	0.07	0.06	0.07	0.17	0.00	0.09	0.09	0.08	0.05	0.02
YoY Growth	-	-	0.15%	-9.57%	-58.54%	0.00%	-100.00%	1.17%	13.15%	43.44%	116.08%	180.11%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.09%	4.03%	5.88%	14.19%	0.00%	5.73%	5.66%	2.94%	1.89%	0.85%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	33.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	5.22
(=) Cash Retained (M)	28.60

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	6.77	4.23	2.54
Cash Retained (M)	28.60	28.60	28.60
(-) Cash Required (M)	-6.77	-4.23	-2.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)	21.84	24.38	26.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	80.34	80.34	80.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.27	0.30	0.32
LTM Dividend per Share	0.07	0.07	0.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.27	0.30	0.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.34	0.37	0.39
WACC / Discount Rate	6.58%	6.58%	6.58%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$32.93	$78.47	$83.73
Upside / Downside	1,782.00%	4,384.04%	4,684.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	33.83	36.03	38.37	40.86	43.52	46.35	47.74
Payout Ratio	15.44%	30.35%	45.27%	60.18%	75.09%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	5.22	10.94	17.37	24.59	32.68	41.71	44.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.58%	6.58%	6.58%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	10.16	10.26	10.36
Year 2 PV (M)	15.00	15.29	15.58
Year 3 PV (M)	19.74	20.31	20.89
Year 4 PV (M)	24.39	25.33	26.29
Year 5 PV (M)	28.94	30.33	31.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)	855.86	897.20	940.12
Equity Value (M)	954.10	998.72	1,045.02
Shares Outstanding (M)	80.34	80.34	80.34
Fair Value	$11.88	$12.43	$13.01
Upside / Downside	578.58%	610.31%	643.24%

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Banca Sistema S.p.A. (0R9H.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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