DDM Analysis: 0383.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1.20 - $3.43	$1.88
Multi-Stage	$1.22 - $1.34	$1.28
Blended Fair Value	$1.58
Current Price	$0.81
Upside	95.09%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	0.00%	-14.66%	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.37%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	53.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	32.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)	21.28

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	10.76	6.73	4.04
Cash Retained (M)	21.28	21.28	21.28
(-) Cash Required (M)	-10.76	-6.73	-4.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)	10.52	14.55	17.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,085.49	1,085.49	1,085.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.01	0.01	0.02
LTM Dividend per Share	0.03	0.03	0.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.01	0.01	0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.04	0.04	0.05
WACC / Discount Rate	6.83%	6.83%	6.83%
Growth Rate	3.42%	4.42%	5.42%
Fair Value	$1.20	$1.88	$3.43
Upside / Downside	48.49%	132.04%	323.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	53.80	56.18	58.66	61.25	63.96	66.79	68.79
Payout Ratio	60.45%	66.36%	72.27%	78.18%	84.09%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	32.52	37.28	42.39	47.89	53.78	60.11	63.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.83%	6.83%	6.83%
Growth Rate	3.42%	4.42%	5.42%
Year 1 PV (M)	34.56	34.90	35.23
Year 2 PV (M)	36.44	37.15	37.86
Year 3 PV (M)	38.16	39.28	40.42
Year 4 PV (M)	39.74	41.30	42.90
Year 5 PV (M)	41.17	43.20	45.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,138.57	1,194.69	1,253.00
Equity Value (M)	1,328.64	1,390.51	1,454.73
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,085.49	1,085.49	1,085.49
Fair Value	$1.22	$1.28	$1.34
Upside / Downside	51.11%	58.15%	65.45%

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Tian An Medicare Limited (0383.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener