Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Baiyang Investment Group, Inc. (002696.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.65 - $2.69$2.11
Multi-Stage$3.09 - $3.39$3.24
Blended Fair Value$2.67
Current Price$6.22
Upside-57.01%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-17.19%7.40%0.100.090.110.130.160.270.330.210.120.16
YoY Growth--10.54%-14.39%-17.49%-15.70%-40.84%-18.08%53.18%81.11%-28.24%221.35%
Dividend Yield--2.02%1.74%1.63%2.17%2.92%4.03%3.73%1.80%0.90%1.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)51.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)26.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)24.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.296.433.86
Cash Retained (M)24.5024.5024.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.29-6.43-3.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)14.2118.0720.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)345.80345.80345.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.120.130.14
WACC / Discount Rate6.79%6.79%6.79%
Growth Rate-0.41%0.59%1.59%
Fair Value$1.65$2.11$2.69
Upside / Downside-73.53%-66.04%-56.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)51.4651.7652.0752.3852.6953.0054.59
Payout Ratio52.38%59.91%67.43%74.95%82.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)26.9631.0135.1139.2643.4547.7050.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.79%6.79%6.79%
Growth Rate-0.41%0.59%1.59%
Year 1 PV (M)28.7529.0429.33
Year 2 PV (M)30.1830.7931.40
Year 3 PV (M)31.2832.2333.21
Year 4 PV (M)32.1033.4134.76
Year 5 PV (M)32.6734.3436.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)912.28959.011,007.63
Equity Value (M)1,067.261,118.821,172.41
Shares Outstanding (M)345.80345.80345.80
Fair Value$3.09$3.24$3.39
Upside / Downside-50.38%-47.98%-45.49%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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