Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hangzhou Oxygen Plant Group Co.,Ltd. (002430.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$82.79 - $202.81$190.06
Multi-Stage$29.64 - $32.43$31.01
Blended Fair Value$110.53
Current Price$24.36
Upside353.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS40.34%36.67%0.961.000.600.240.180.180.070.160.030.02
YoY Growth---3.98%66.84%144.70%38.89%0.00%140.00%-54.36%535.27%49.98%-60.00%
Dividend Yield--4.65%3.27%1.80%0.85%0.59%1.50%0.58%1.20%0.24%0.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,004.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)423.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)580.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)200.87125.5475.33
Cash Retained (M)580.44580.44580.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-200.87-125.54-75.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)379.57454.89505.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)984.87984.87984.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.390.460.51
LTM Dividend per Share0.430.430.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.390.460.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.820.890.94
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$82.79$190.06$202.81
Upside / Downside239.86%680.22%732.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,004.351,069.631,139.161,213.201,292.061,376.051,417.33
Payout Ratio42.21%51.77%61.32%70.88%80.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)423.91553.71698.59859.961,039.361,238.441,311.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)514.84519.72524.60
Year 2 PV (M)603.95615.46627.07
Year 3 PV (M)691.28711.12731.34
Year 4 PV (M)776.84806.71837.44
Year 5 PV (M)860.67902.24945.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,740.4726,983.7428,274.60
Equity Value (M)29,188.0530,538.9931,940.45
Shares Outstanding (M)984.87984.87984.87
Fair Value$29.64$31.01$32.43
Upside / Downside21.66%27.29%33.13%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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