Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Jiangsu Lianfa Textile Co.,Ltd (002394.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.23 - $8.82$7.51
Multi-Stage$54.86 - $61.08$57.90
Blended Fair Value$32.71
Current Price$11.14
Upside193.59%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-27.49%-12.72%0.140.890.080.360.560.680.830.710.800.80
YoY Growth---84.87%1,024.65%-78.19%-35.20%-16.66%-18.72%16.66%-11.05%0.54%50.96%
Dividend Yield--1.81%11.79%1.06%4.59%5.55%7.81%7.04%6.12%4.72%5.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)334.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)60.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)273.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)66.9141.8225.09
Cash Retained (M)273.84273.84273.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-66.91-41.82-25.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)206.93232.02248.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)323.87323.87323.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.640.720.77
LTM Dividend per Share0.190.190.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.640.720.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.830.900.96
WACC / Discount Rate2.98%2.98%2.98%
Growth Rate-9.09%-8.09%-7.09%
Fair Value$6.23$7.51$8.82
Upside / Downside-44.11%-32.61%-20.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)334.57307.50282.63259.76238.75219.43226.02
Payout Ratio18.15%32.52%46.89%61.26%75.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)60.73100.00132.53159.13180.57197.49209.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.98%2.98%2.98%
Growth Rate-9.09%-8.09%-7.09%
Year 1 PV (M)96.0697.1198.17
Year 2 PV (M)122.27124.98127.71
Year 3 PV (M)141.02145.73150.54
Year 4 PV (M)153.70160.58167.68
Year 5 PV (M)161.47170.55180.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,093.7618,054.8219,058.63
Equity Value (M)17,768.2818,753.7619,782.76
Shares Outstanding (M)323.87323.87323.87
Fair Value$54.86$57.90$61.08
Upside / Downside392.48%419.79%448.31%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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