Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd. (002294.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.11 - $5.87$4.97
Multi-Stage$7.12 - $7.79$7.45
Blended Fair Value$6.21
Current Price$60.35
Upside-89.71%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-8.53%3.36%0.490.490.400.010.480.770.761.040.190.41
YoY Growth---0.61%24.52%2,738.49%-97.09%-37.28%1.10%-27.35%462.52%-55.02%16.98%
Dividend Yield--1.49%1.67%1.12%0.06%1.27%4.31%2.75%2.41%0.65%1.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)672.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)557.47
(=) Cash Retained (M)115.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)134.5184.0750.44
Cash Retained (M)115.09115.09115.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-134.51-84.07-50.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)-19.4231.0264.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,114.151,114.151,114.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.030.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.030.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.480.530.56
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate-2.18%-1.18%-0.18%
Fair Value$4.11$4.97$5.87
Upside / Downside-93.19%-91.76%-90.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)672.56664.65656.83649.10641.46633.91652.93
Payout Ratio82.89%84.31%85.73%87.16%88.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)557.47560.37563.12565.72568.19570.52603.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate-2.18%-1.18%-0.18%
Year 1 PV (M)507.40512.59517.78
Year 2 PV (M)461.70471.19480.77
Year 3 PV (M)420.00433.01446.29
Year 4 PV (M)381.96397.82414.17
Year 5 PV (M)347.28365.39384.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,816.276,119.706,435.66
Equity Value (M)7,934.618,299.698,678.92
Shares Outstanding (M)1,114.151,114.151,114.15
Fair Value$7.12$7.45$7.79
Upside / Downside-88.20%-87.66%-87.09%

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