DDM Analysis: 002075.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2.60 - $6.04	$3.81
Multi-Stage	$4.53 - $4.98	$4.75
Blended Fair Value	$4.28
Current Price	$5.62
Upside	-23.80%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	24.19%	7.11%	0.09	0.05	0.08	0.10	0.10	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	0.01
YoY Growth	-	-	78.19%	-37.50%	-20.00%	-0.59%	233.52%	-0.04%	3,149.18%	-73.71%	-73.65%	-70.11%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.54%	1.10%	1.91%	1.75%	1.11%	0.33%	0.29%	0.01%	0.02%	0.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	288.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	121.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)	166.38

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	57.66	36.04	21.62
Cash Retained (M)	166.38	166.38	166.38
(-) Cash Required (M)	-57.66	-36.04	-21.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)	108.72	130.34	144.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,209.77	2,209.77	2,209.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.05	0.06	0.07
LTM Dividend per Share	0.06	0.06	0.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.05	0.06	0.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.10	0.11	0.12
WACC / Discount Rate	5.48%	5.48%	5.48%
Growth Rate	1.41%	2.41%	3.41%
Fair Value	$2.60	$3.81	$6.04
Upside / Downside	-53.67%	-32.14%	7.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	288.30	295.25	302.37	309.66	317.13	324.78	334.52
Payout Ratio	42.29%	51.83%	61.37%	70.92%	80.46%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	121.92	153.04	185.58	219.60	255.16	292.30	309.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.48%	5.48%	5.48%
Growth Rate	1.41%	2.41%	3.41%
Year 1 PV (M)	143.67	145.09	146.51
Year 2 PV (M)	163.56	166.81	170.08
Year 3 PV (M)	181.71	187.14	192.67
Year 4 PV (M)	198.21	206.15	214.32
Year 5 PV (M)	213.17	223.89	235.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)	9,111.60	9,569.79	10,046.23
Equity Value (M)	10,011.94	10,498.87	11,004.85
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,209.77	2,209.77	2,209.77
Fair Value	$4.53	$4.75	$4.98
Upside / Downside	-19.38%	-15.46%	-11.39%

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Jiangsu Shagang Co., Ltd. (002075.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener